Thursday, October 18, 2012

Mystery Chart: Guess what it is, win free Silver!

I have constructed the below chart with some data I collected this evening.

I am putting out a challenge to any readers who are interested in winning some free Silver. Guess what this chart is (answer has to be specific) and I will post you a free ounce of Silver (you will get a choice from a few nice coins). Only the first person to guess will win the Silver. Will post worldwide. No maximum number of entries so you can keep guessing, but only 1 guess allowed per comment (so if you want to make 3 guesses then they need to be in 3 separate comments). Only entries in comments section of this blog will be accepted.

Important: You need to post your entry to the blog with an account (leave an email address in the comment or use a username that you use on a forum like Silver Stackers or Kitcomm) or I will not be able to contact the winner.

I will give out some clues over the next couple of days (will update the post) and probably close this off Sunday afternoon/evening if no one has guessed correctly (and I will keep my ounce of Silver). I will tweet any new clues (once posted on the blog) so follow me on Twitter (@bullionbaron) for notification of updates.

The first clue: I am finance/market related. Just because the number rises doesn't mean my owners wealth increases.

CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE
Friday Morning Clues: I've had a couple of suggestions that it could be the Fed or another central bank balance sheet. While that fits the theme of the first clue it's not a central bank balance sheet. The number set that is charted starts around 20 million and recently almost doubled to a little under 4 billion.

Question: Is it precious metals related?
Answer: A good question to narrow it down. Yes it is precious metals related (more info in afternoon clue).

There has been a break in the mystery... from Beer Holiday:

Number of gold mining co shares issued. On the ASX I guess. I don't follow the penny stocks, hopefully they had lots of placements this year.

As per above, I need specifics (company name)... but the above should help considerably to final answer.


The answer was guessed correctly by euphoria, it is the issued shares over a 10 year period for Gold Anomaly Limited (GOA) on the ASX. I will put up a post later tonight or over the weekend with more information.

But it's something to think about in the meantime. Some of these small cap mining stocks are better scrip printers than Bernanke himself.


You can also ask questions in the comments section to try and narrow down where to look for the answer. It's very unlikely you've seen this exact data charted before.

So put your thinking cap on and start guessing below!

107 comments:

  1. Replies
    1. It is kind of similar to this in a way, but no.

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  2. Replies
    1. I thought it looked very similar to that chart as well, but no (and not the balance sheet of any other central bank either).

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  3. juliar giliards audacity

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Chart of that would probably look similar :) but no.

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  4. return on investment in promoting your blog ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  5. Is it a chart of the amount of silver in ounces represented by 'paper silver' such as SLV contracts, globally.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Amount of silver coins produced?

    ReplyDelete
  7. I have updated the original post with some Friday morning clues. more to come this afternoon.

    ReplyDelete
  8. The chart appears to be that of the increase of student loan debt.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Chart of that probably looks similar, but no.

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  9. Power output from solar panels (aleks)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Looked up a chart of this out of interest and looks very similar, but not this.

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  10. Replies
    1. First with first clue and the increase can be damaging in a similar way, but it's not central bank related (balance sheet, money supply, etc).

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  11. US monetary base, the comment publishing security process is making it much too difficult to post!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nope not monetary base or balance sheet for any central banks :)

      Sorry about comment security, I have turned off word verification, hopefully makes it easier? :)

      Delete
  12. Replies
    1. A good question to narrow it down. Yes it is precious metals related (more info in afternoon clue).

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  13. commercial's silver short positions

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No, although they have been increasing their short position the last few months as Silver price increases.

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  14. Private demand (individuals) for physical silver?

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    Replies
    1. Nope, it is something that can be more accurately measured than this.

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  15. OR Domestic imports of Gold to China?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nearly 4 billion ounces of Gold? :O

      Nope not that :)

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  16. MY LAST TRY:
    Silver Eagle Production

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not that either. More clues over the next couple of days should make it easier :)

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    2. The "OCD" part of me HAS to know now! :p

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    3. The "OCD" part of me HAS to know now! :p

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    4. It's a good thing I gave up....
      I NEVER would've got it!

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  17. My last try till more clues!
    Newly minted coinage?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nope, much too high for that I would imagine.

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  18. Amount of money invested in ETF's & the like?
    (promise that's my last for now)

    ReplyDelete
  19. True money supply per ounce of gold?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. http://media.resourceinvestor.com/resourceinvestor/article/2012/02/08/2-8-12-gm-precious_metals.png

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    2. I think that's the best I can do!
      Pretty scary chart but nothing we didn't already know!

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  20. Replies
    1. Or consumption of silver in smart phones and mobile devices

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    2. Sorry - missed the First Clue - just saw the Friday morning clue... feel silly now

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  21. number of ounzez of gold bought by the Chinese Central Bank

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. meant dollars of gold bought by the Chinese

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    2. No and No :)

      As per first clue, the rise is actually detrimental to owners.

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  22. Replies
    1. haha what happened to your promise? :) Not that.

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  23. Apple Inc. unit sales.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Similar chart, but nope. More directly linked to precious metals than that.

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  24. Last one tonight. The dollar amount of purchases mortgage backed securities by the Fed?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nope, it's directly related to precious metals. Updated original post with that info.

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  25. Australian PM sales to China in $AUD

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not this. Although that has risen very sharply recently according to reports.

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  26. Value of Money Supply correlated to Gold Reserves

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nope, not related to money supply. It's not a ratio of any kind.

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  27. Man this is gonna kill me. It looks like such a beautiful Fed style chart hahaha. ok one more for now......
    Dollars of silver nakedly shorted on the Comex

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Only 2 days to wait if someone doesn't guess it beforehand, biggest clues will come Saturday morning ;)

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  28. That spike in Q3 looks suspiciously Carbon-tax related. So how about: 'tax revenues collected by Australian government from the gold mining industry'?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. oooh good thinking, but not carbon tax related.

      The large increases won't lineup specifically with macro/economic events.

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    2. Or I should say the large increases are not caused specifically by macro/economic events, but may lineup by coincidence.

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  29. Is it the number of people world wide who have bought precious metals for investment/capital preservation reasons?

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    Replies
    1. I think that number would still be much lower :)

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  30. Number of gold mining co shares issued

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    Replies
    1. On the ASX I guess. I don't follow the pennt stocks, hopefully they had lots of placements this year.

      Delete
    2. Now we're cooking! As per blog "answer has to be specific", but if no one guesses the company I will send you the ounce.

      I will also send you a round 50 for getting part way there if someone else guesses the company.

      Delete
    3. Thanks,

      Anyone who owns stock in the co before the issue probably deserves it more than me :-)

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    4. lol true, this stock has punished holders.

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    5. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  31. Replies
    1. lol another good guess, cause the chart probably looks similar, but as noted above, it's shares on issue for an ASX listed resource company... now just need the name of the company.

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  32. There has been a break in the mystery from Beer Holiday. I have updated the original post. It's shares on issue for a particular ASX listed resource company... now which penny stock is it?

    ReplyDelete
  33. Torian Resources ASX:TNR

    ReplyDelete
  34. Focus Minerals ASX:FML

    ReplyDelete
  35. Australia Oriental Minerals (AOM)

    ReplyDelete
  36. Last guess BlueScope Steel (BSL)

    ReplyDelete
  37. Gold Anomaly ASX:GOA

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. WE HAVE A WINNER!

      From just over 20 million shares to around 3.75 billion in the space of around 10 years. That's around a 185x increase in number of shares from the float. There are probably mining shares out there with a worse track record as well.

      I will put up a post over the weekend with some more details.

      Congrats euphoria & Beer Holiday, I will be in touch about prizes.

      Delete
  38. does not look like it's a gold or silver stock

    Stan_Cash

    ReplyDelete
  39. The answer was guessed correctly by euphoria, it is the issued shares over a 10 year period for Gold Anomaly Limited (GOA) on the ASX. I will put up a post later tonight or over the weekend with more information.

    But it's something to think about in the meantime. Some of these small cap mining stocks are better scrip printers than Bernanke himself.

    ReplyDelete
  40. from what i can tell current GOA shares on issue are 2,250,000,000. is that not correct?

    stan_cash

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. See the "Appendix 3B - Rights Issue" from October 12th. Last quarterly your figure was about right, but they have almost doubled the shares again with this recent issue!

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  41. Out of curiosity just what sort of research were you doing to come across that chart? Where did that chart originate? I had done an image search through google by uploading the chart and came up with nothing, which seemed/seems a bit odd.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'd been meaning to pick a junior resource stock for some time to writeup a post on how far dilution can go with some of these smaller companies (to the point where they are practically hyperinflating). I created the chart myself by collecting the number of shares on issue from each quarterly and then from the recent rights issue announcement for Q3 2012.

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    2. More info in a new post soon (tonight or over the weekend).

      Delete
  42. Is It What China Is Buying/Holding In Silver/Gold?

    ReplyDelete